Theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb B\u1ed9 Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, kim ng\u1ea1ch th\u00e9p Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0o n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea1t 1,13 t\u1ef7 USD, \u0111\u1ee9ng 8 v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ea1i cao nh\u1ea5t trong c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p, h\u01a1n 140% so v\u1edbi 2023, theo t\u00ednh to\u00e1n c\u1ee7a CNBC<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c H\u1ea3i quan, Vi\u1ec7t Nam b\u00e1n 1,67 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n s\u1eaft th\u00e9p, tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n 1,32 t\u1ef7 USD \u0111\u1ebfn M\u1ef9, chi\u1ebfm l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t 9,4% v\u00e0 10,5% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 kim ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y n\u0103m qua.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Khi th\u00e9p kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump, nh\u00f3m ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng HSBC trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh ng\u00e0y 11\/2 l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1ee7i ro thu\u1ebf quan “ph\u1ee7 b\u00f3ng m\u00e2y” l\u00ean tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n “Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u1ed1i di\u1ec7n v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro thu\u1ebf quan do c\u00f3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u1edbn v\u1edbi M\u1ef9”, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o nh\u1eadn x\u00e9t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u0103m qua, theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c H\u1ea3i quan, Vi\u1ec7t Nam xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u 112,5 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp 10,5 t\u1ef7 USD t\u1eeb n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y, l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t t\u0103ng 16% v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n 24% so v\u1edbi 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp, thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f2n b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i cho s\u1ee9c mua, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng, ngo\u00e0i th\u00e9p. <\/strong>\u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean<\/em>, kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 – th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam – c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng United Overseas Bank (UOB) cho r\u1eb1ng, v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 (ch\u01b0a g\u1ed3m thu\u1ebf 25% l\u00ean th\u00e9p) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111e d\u1ecda, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i \u1edf m\u1ee9c 1,8%, trong khi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t t\u0103ng th\u00eam 0,4 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m, l\u00ean 2,5%. Kinh t\u1ebf n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng 1%, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00ean 3,1% n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch thu\u1ebf \u00e1p l\u00ean Mexico v\u00e0 Canada \u0111ang t\u1ea1m ho\u00e3n, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c thi sau m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n “Thu\u1ebf quan s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ra l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0 l\u00e0m ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng chi ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng M\u1ef9, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a l\u00e2u b\u1ec1n”, \u00f4ng Olu Sonola, Tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ty x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn nhi\u1ec7m Fitch Ratings d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n H\u00e0ng h\u00f3a l\u00e2u b\u1ec1n ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3 gia d\u1ee5ng l\u1edbn (t\u1ee7 l\u1ea1nh, \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00f2a..), thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eed (\u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i, TV, m\u00e1y \u1ea3nh), xe, \u0111\u1ed3 n\u1ed9i th\u1ea5t v\u00e0 m\u00e1y m\u00f3c c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u1ec1u l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng ch\u1ee7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam sang M\u1ef9, mang v\u1ec1 h\u00e0ng t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u1ee5c t\u1ef7 USD n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, n\u1ed9i th\u1ea5t 9 t\u1ef7 USD, \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i (9,8 t\u1ef7 USD), m\u00e1y m\u00f3c-thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb-ph\u1ee5 t\u00f9ng (22 t\u1ef7 USD).<\/p>\n\n\n\n D\u1ec7t may c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0nh xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ch\u1ee7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam sang M\u1ef9. N\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p ng\u00e0nh n\u00e0y b\u00e1n 44 t\u1ef7 USD gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m \u0111i c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc, t\u0103ng tr\u00ean 11% so v\u1edbi 2023. M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 kim ng\u1ea1ch, v\u1edbi h\u01a1n 16 t\u1ef7 USD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00f3i v\u1edbi VnExpress<\/em>, \u00f4ng Ph\u1ea1m Quang Anh, CEO C\u00f4ng ty may m\u1eb7c Dony cho r\u1eb1ng thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n trong xu h\u01b0\u1edbng kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chia s\u1ebb k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3, \u00f4ng cho bi\u1ebft doanh nghi\u1ec7p t\u1eadp trung hai chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh. Theo \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01a1n h\u00e0ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh. Ngo\u00e0i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng l\u00e0 M\u1ef9, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, c\u00f4ng ty \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ebfn Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, Nga hay ch\u00e2u Phi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n “N\u1ebfu ch\u1ec9 \u0111a d\u1ea1ng kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng sang c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh M\u1ef9 th\u00ec ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7, v\u00ec h\u1ecd c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u0169ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 khi \u00f4ng Trump thay \u0111\u1ed5i”, \u00f4ng Quang Anh n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n CEO Dony n\u00f3i th\u00eam vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn gi\u1ea3m \u0111i, ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ea5t v\u1ea3 h\u01a1n do s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t k\u00e9m t\u1ed1i \u01b0u, nh\u01b0ng l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ec3 doanh nghi\u1ec7p gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Th\u1ee9 hai<\/em>, thu\u1ebf quan v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t khi\u1ebfn C\u1ee5c d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n trong h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, khi\u1ebfn USD duy tr\u00ec s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng UOB d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 USD\/VND s\u1ebd nh\u00edch d\u1ea7n l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 26.000 \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u00e0o qu\u00fd III.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0110\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi USD t\u1ea1o thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i cho xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, nh\u01b0ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 khi\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o t\u0103ng. N\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, Vi\u1ec7t Nam xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u 405,53 t\u1ef7 USD nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng nh\u1eadp 380,76 t\u1ef7 USD, theo T\u1ed5ng c\u1ee5c Th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea. H\u01a1n 93% t\u1ed5ng kim ng\u1ea1ch nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 nh\u00f3m 46 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb tr\u00ean 1 t\u1ef7 USD ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 nhu c\u1ea7u nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb cho s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n C\u1ed9ng r\u1ee7i ro thu\u1ebf v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o r\u00ecnh r\u1eadp t\u0103ng th\u00ec bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng. “Ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f2n ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0o nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u”, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o HSBC l\u01b0u \u00fd. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 ch\u01b0a k\u1ec3, khi USD t\u0103ng, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean c\u1ea1nh tranh h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ngo\u00e0i ra, do ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau kinh doanh t\u00ednh b\u1eb1ng USD, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c FDI ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n. Theo \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u1eeb nh\u00f3m chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ee7a Trung t\u00e2m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u kinh doanh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 doanh nghi\u1ec7p (BSA), nh\u00f3m n\u00e0y c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p Vi\u1ec7t xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u quay v\u1ec1 khai th\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh gay g\u1eaft h\u01a1n tr\u00ean s\u00e2n nh\u00e0 – v\u1ed1n s\u1ee9c mua ch\u01b0a c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n nhi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Tuy v\u1eady, nh\u00f3m ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u1eeb HSBC cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 h\u01a1n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nhi\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1edbi khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam. L\u00fac n\u00e0y, hai c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi v\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u r\u1ee7i ro thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c v\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau c\u00f4ng ty s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng di chuy\u1ec3n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng, g\u00e2y t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m c\u1ea3 th\u1eddi gian l\u1eabn ti\u1ec1n b\u1ea1c, ch\u1ec9 v\u00ec c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng UOB d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i th\u00edch nghi v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 thu\u1ebf quan li\u00ean t\u1ee5c v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ebfn ph\u00fat ch\u00f3t. Ph\u00eda BSA khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u00ean s\u1edbm c\u00f3 c\u00e1c k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn thu\u1ebf quan tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Vi\u1ec5n Th\u00f4ng<\/strong><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 th\u00e9p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00e0nh m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng, nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc r\u1ee7i ro t\u1eeb thu\u1ebf quan. T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump k\u00fd l\u1ec7nh \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 25% l\u00ean to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 nh\u00f4m, th\u00e9p v\u00e0o n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb 4\/3. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o nh\u1eefng b\u00ean […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1704,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1703","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kinh-doanh"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1703","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1703"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1703\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1705,"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1703\/revisions\/1705"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1704"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1703"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1703"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/anphongcargo.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1703"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}![\"H\u00e0ng](\"https:\/\/i1-kinhdoanh.vnecdn.net\/2025\/02\/11\/dsc06849-jpg-1739265438-6379-1739265881.jpg?w=680&h=0&q=100&dpr=1&fit=crop&s=pnb7OKQDMd0cM0Zwpiq6UQ\")